Fight Replay by MMAshare
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Zane Simon: I’ll admit, the closer this fight gets to happening, the less sure I am of Gaethje’s chances. He’s got power, and he’s got a great early edge—in that he’s a fast starter who is sharp in the pocket, and Ferguson tends to step in aggressively from the opening bell without a lot of defense in place. Basically, Ferguson tends to get hit hard early and Gaethje tends to hit people hard early. But, Ferguson is also excellent at adjusting and Gaethje seems to stay pretty tracked in to whatever plan he came in with. If Gaethje doesn’t end this early, he definitely stays dangerous all fight, but Ferguson will make this a wild bout over the distance. Still, I’m taking the early finish. That dynamic just feels too likely as a gut read. Justin Gaethje via TKO, round 1.